COVID-19: From ‘turn the tide in 12 weeks’ to ‘return to normality’ by Christmas – why does PM think 19 July will be different?

Since they were first imposed in the spring of last year, the question of when coronavirus restrictions would finally be lifted has been ever present.

At various points through the pandemic Boris Johnson has attempted to provide an answer – but repeatedly his assertions, some more confident than others, have proved to be false dawns.

But why was the government wrong in its predictions before, and why is the prime minister indicating much greater confidence that this time things will be different?

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