Coronavirus: Sage forecasts 'completely wrong' says IDS
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Tory MP and former Conservative leader Iain Duncan Smith insisted the UK should not be delaying the relaxing of coronavirus restriction measures on June 21. While speaking on GB News, he insisted Boris Johnson and the Government were getting frightened about incorrect figures. The figures he dubbed incorrect were SAGE’s data that did not consider the impact vaccines are having on the lethality and spread of the virus.
Mr Duncan Smith said: “There were very interesting figures produced which, despite all the nonsense talked at the moment.
“One jab stops hospitalisation by round about 60 percent.
“Two jabs stop it even up to 95, 95 percent, that is what the latest figures have shown.
“What we have got here is a set of forecasts where SAGE have been completely incorrect.
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“We’re getting worried and frightened about forecasts.
“Forecasts which don’t take into consideration the impact of vaccines.
“Forecasts that haven’t taken into consideration the fact that the vaccines are the big change.
“The reality is vaccines are having a dramatic effect on hospitalisations and death and these are two important figures.
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“Rising case rates and hospital numbers are likely to have persuaded ministers of the merits of postponing the last stage of the road map out of lockdown.”
On Monday evening, Boris Johnson addressed the nation and announced the Government lockdown roadmap could go ahead as planned.
He noted that the June 21 unlocking day, dubbed Freedom Day, would have to be missed and moved to July 19.
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“Or else we can give the NHS a few more crucial weeks to get those remaining jabs into the arms of those who need them.
“And since today I cannot say that that we have met all our four tests for proceeding with Step 4 on June 21, I think it is sensible to wait just a little longer.
“We will monitor the position every day and if, after two weeks, we have concluded that the risk has diminished then we reserve the possibility of proceeding to step four, and a full opening, sooner.”
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